In response to the forecast from Hydrometeorological heart, at 13:00 on December 17, the placement of the storm’s heart was about 10.2 levels North latitude; 120.1 levels East longitude, proper on the northeast coast of Palawan Island (Philippines). The strongest wind within the space close to the middle of the storm is powerful at stage 14 (150-165km/h), stage 17.
It’s forecasted that by the night of December 17, this tremendous storm will weaken and enter the East Sea. When getting into the East Sea, the storm’s depth will lower by about two ranges in comparison with the current, ie about stage 14.
Thus, it may be seen that though the tremendous hurricane tends to lower in depth when passing by way of the central Philippines, because of friction with the terrain, when it enters the East Sea, it’s nonetheless a really sturdy storm, stage 13-14. That is additionally a uncommon storm in recent times.
In response to statistics from the Nationwide Hydro-meteorological Heart, within the final 50 years, there have been 8 tremendous typhoons (ie, stage 16 or greater) showing within the northwest Pacific Ocean. Through which, in 2016, there was an excellent storm additionally shaped in December. Due to this fact, the case of storm RAI is a uncommon case.
Mr. Tran Quang Nang, head of the climate forecast division, commented on the anomaly of storm RAI on Tuoi Tre that, usually in December, when the storm enters the southern area of the East Sea, it can instantly have an effect on the provinces and cities. southern. Nevertheless, this tremendous hurricane RAI tends to maneuver northward, which is an anomaly in its path in comparison with the multi-year common.
At the moment, the situations have been calculated, the chance that the storm path of RAI deviates to the north is the best likelihood of as much as 80%, in which there’s additionally the chance that the storm will go on to the central area and deviate to the south. , nevertheless these potentialities are usually not excessive.
Hurricane RAI is an excellent storm, lively on the finish of the season, when it enters the East Sea, it nonetheless has very sturdy depth, as much as stage 13, mixed with enhanced chilly air will trigger very sturdy winds to the realm within the center sea. Within the East Sea, the waves are very excessive, from 8-10m, very harmful for ships, together with ships of enormous tonnage.
Due to this fact, any more, ships want to significantly avoid the realm more likely to be affected by sturdy winds, particularly the realm that’s more likely to cross by way of the middle of the storm.
.
